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2024-12-13 05:48:45

Galaxy Securities: When the IP layout of "Millet Economy" was carried out, the china galaxy Securities Research Report indicated that "Millet Economy" was highly prosperous, and high-quality IP was the key. In 2024, IP products will continue to maintain a high degree of popularity, from Xiaoma Baolika brand in the first half of the year to Guzi store and Jellycat pop-up shop since the third quarter, with strong market demand. It is believed that IP creation is the core of "millet" and tide play consumption, and the influence of IP plays an important role in attracting fans and integrating multiple formats. As the key to accumulate users and break the circle of products, high-quality IP can attract consumers and extend the product life cycle. Therefore, in the current environment of high market attention and strong demand, the high prosperity of high-quality IP products is expected to be maintained. It is suggested to follow up on two tracks: the track with stable performance foundation or obvious supply-side recovery, and the track with high cost performance, and the elastic variety with incremental dimension or improvement of external factors: 1) Hong Kong stock Internet: the profit improvement expectation of Head Internet Company is strengthened, and the cost performance of investment is prominent. It is suggested to pay attention to Tencent Holdings, which has steady growth in various businesses and stable fundamentals, and the Internet video platform company, which turned losses for the first time in a single quarter and continuously improved its profitability. 2) Publishing industry: The publishing industry will accelerate the development of digitalization, personalization, customization and intelligence, and the new amount of AI+ publishing and research business will bring new opportunities to the industry, and the market value management of central enterprises will be included in the assessment. It is suggested to pay attention to: Shandong Publishing and Southern Media, which are stable in fundamentals and have certain business incremental space; 3) Cinema & Game Industry: High-quality content is always a scarce resource in the industry. It is suggested to pay attention to the game and cinema companies under AI empowerment: Shenzhou Taiyue, Bona Film, WANDA CINEMAS and so on, which have rich content reserves. 4) With regard to IP derivatives, it is recommended to pay attention to POP MART, the leader of the IP craze retail market.The yield of China's 10-year government bonds hit the 1.88% mark, hitting a new low.The decline in the yield of major inter-bank interest rate bonds has expanded, and the decline in the yield of major inter-bank interest rate bonds has expanded. The yield of 10-year treasury bonds "24 interest-bearing treasury bonds 11" has dropped by 2.5bp to 1.88%, continuing to hit a record low; The yield of 30-year active bond "24 Special Bond 06" went down 3.5bp to 2.0750%.


Guotai Junan: Airline naked fares will keep rising year-on-year, and the pressure on oil prices will continue to improve. Guotai Junan Research Report said that the recent trend of passenger flow and load factor conforms to the characteristics of off-season, and is better than the same period in 2023. The pressure on oil prices has improved significantly since the fourth quarter of 2024. In December, the ex-factory price of domestic jet fuel increased slightly by 3% from the previous month and decreased by 17% year-on-year, continuing the downward trend of the central government. Recently, domestic naked fares have kept rising year-on-year, and it is estimated that more than half of the fuel has been reduced, reflecting that the recovery of supply and demand is better than expected, and it is expected that the off-season will greatly reduce losses year-on-year. Considering that the recent decline in international oil prices will be transmitted to China with a delay of about two months, the oil price pressure will continue to improve in the first quarter of 2025. It is predicted that the concentration of passenger flow in Spring Festival travel rush in the first half of 2025 will contribute to the active revenue management of the airline company, and the peak season may show more than expected profit elasticity and catalyze optimistic expectations. Reaffirm the logic of super cycle and long period of aviation equipment. When supply and demand recover, considering the marketization of fares and the slowdown of fleet growth, the profit center can be expected to rise.Foreign media: Hungarian Prime Minister Orban posted that he met with Trump and Musk at Haihu Manor. According to CNN and Russian Tass News Agency on the 9th, Hungarian Prime Minister Orban went to the United States at the invitation of President-elect Trump, and met with Trump at Haihu Manor in Florida. American billionaire Musk also attended the talks. According to the report, Orban posted on social media X on the 9th: "America today. The future has begun! One afternoon at Haihu Manor with Trump, Musk and Mike Valcz (appointed by Trump as US National Security Adviser-Editor's Note). " (World Wide Web)In November, the annual rate of M2 money supply in Japan was 1.2%, and the previous value was 1.20%. M3 annual rate is 0.7%.


Oracle Bone Inscriptions's revenue in the fiscal quarter did not surprise investors. The stock price fell after hours, and the quarterly revenue of database giant Oracle Bone Inscriptions met expectations, which disappointed some investors who hoped that the cloud business would perform better. Oracle Bone Inscriptions shares fell in after-hours trading. Oracle Bone Inscriptions announced after-hours Monday that its second-quarter revenue increased by 9% to $14.1 billion. Cloud business revenue increased by 52% to $2.4 billion, in line with analysts' expectations. Oracle Bone Inscriptions has been trying to find its foothold in the computing and storage leasing market, which is now dominated by larger competitors Amazon and Microsoft. Larry Ellision, chairman of Oracle Bone Inscriptions, paid special attention to the company's ability to provide hardware and integrated software for handling artificial intelligence tasks. Safra Catz, CEO of Oracle Bone Inscriptions, said in the performance conference call that the company expects revenue growth of about 8% in the third quarter, excluding some projects, earnings per share is expected to be between 1.47 and 1.51 dollars, and cloud business revenue is expected to increase by about 24%. These performance prospects are not as good as analysts' estimates. Oracle Bone Inscriptions shares closed at $190.45 on Monday, down about 7% in after-hours trading. The company's share price has soared by 81% this year.Analyst: "The economy is confident and the policy is unprecedented." "The economy is confident and the policy is unprecedented." Chen Xing, chief macro analyst of Caitong Securities, said that this year's economic operation is generally stable, and risks in key areas have been resolved in an orderly and effective manner. The meeting has confidence in this year's economic performance, and it is expected that the main objectives and tasks of economic and social development will be successfully completed throughout the year. Chen Xing believes that the Politburo meeting mentioned "stabilizing the property market and stock market" for the first time, and the core is to stabilize the prices of these two types of assets, namely house prices and stock indexes, which will help to repair the balance sheet of the residential sector, thus boosting consumption and expanding domestic demand.In early trading, the main domestic futures contracts rose almost across the board, with coke and glass rising by over 5%, BR rubber and coking coal rising by over 4%, screw thread and soda ash rising by over 3%, iron ore rising by nearly 3%, and hot coil, polyvinyl chloride (PVC), para-xylene (PX), PTA, Shanghai Bank, Shanghai Tin, rapeseed meal and SC crude oil rising by over 2%. In terms of decline, asphalt and low sulfur fuel oil (LU) declined slightly.

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